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PERFORMANCE
OF
COMPLETED
PROJECTS

STATUS REPORT
NUMBER 1

NIST SPECIAL PUBLICATION 950-1

Economic Assessment Office
Advanced Technology Program
Gaithersburg, Maryland 20899

William F. Long
Business Performance Research Associates, Inc.
Bethesda, Maryland 20814

March 1999

CONTENTS

Acknowledgements
Executive Summary
Introduction

CHAPTER 1 - Overview of Completed Projects

Characteristics of the Projects
Timeline of Expected ATP Project
    Activities and Impacts

Gains in Technical Knowledge
Dissemination of New Knowledge
Commercialization of the New Technology
Broad-Based Economic Benefits

CHAPTER 2 - Biotechnology

Aastrom Biosciences, Inc.
Aphios Corporation
Molecular Simulations, Inc.
Thermo Trilogy Corporation
Tissue Engineering, Inc.

CHAPTER 3 - Chemicals and Chemical Processing

BioTraces, Inc.

CHAPTER 4 - Discrete Manufacturing

Auto Body Consortium (Joint Venture)
HelpMate Robotics, Inc.
PreAmp Consortium (Joint Venture)
Saginaw Machine Systems, Inc.

CHAPTER 5 - Electronics

Accuwave Corporation
AstroPower, Inc.
Cree Research, Inc.
Cynosure, Inc.
Diamond Semiconductor Group, LLC
FSI International, Inc.
Galileo Corporation
Hampshire Instruments, Inc. (Joint Venture)
Illinois Superconductor Corporation
Light Age, Inc.
Lucent Technologies, Inc.
Multi-Film Venture (Joint Venture)
Nonvolatile Electronics, Inc.
Spire Corporation
Thomas Electronics, Inc.

CHAPTER 6 - Energy and Environment

American Superconductor Corporation
Armstrong World Industries, Inc.
E.I. duPont de Nemours & Company
Michigan Molecular Institute

CHAPTER 7 - Information, Computers, and Communications

Communication Intelligence Corporation #1
Communication Intelligence Corporation #2
Engineering Animation, Inc.
ETOM Technologies, Inc.
Mathematical Technologies, Inc.
Torrent Systems, Inc.

CHAPTER 8 - Materials

AlliedSignal, Inc.
Geltech Incorporated
IBM Corporation

APPENDICES

Appendix A: Development of New Knowledge and Early Commercial Products and Processes

Appendix B: Terminated Projects

END NOTES

End Notes

Click here for PDF version of report.

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Commercialization of the New Technology

New technical knowledge must be put to use if economic benefits are going to accrue to the nation. In most instances, the use will be through the introduction into the market of a new product or process by the inventing firm or other companies. The new knowledge may be used by outside researchers before it makes its way onto the marketplace. But the new knowledge must eventually result in new products or processes in the marketplace for there to be real-world benefits to the economy. (13) In competitive markets, the producer is typically unable to capture all the benefits of a new product, and the consumer reaps part of the benefits.

Commercialization - A Critical Step Toward National Benefits

For 24 of the 38 completed projects, a new product or service is on the market or a new process is being used to improve the quality or reduce the cost of making an existing product or service. Eighteen projects have introduced new products, five are using new processes in their own production, and one has introduced a new service. All of the products and processes are used by commercial companies in their production processes.

Among the new products are substantial devices that are self-contained, including receive filters for cellular phone sites, lasers that can be tuned to different wavelengths for a wide range of applications, flat fluorescent lights to serve as back-lights for color liquid crystal displays in a variety of applications, wall units made of mixed recycled plastics for use in pre-fabricated buildings, robots to provide delivery services in hospitals and other installations, machine tools that can produce much higher quality metal parts because they are self-adjusting for the effects of high heat that otherwise would cause errors, and a super-sensitive measurement instrument for detecting minute amounts of viruses and toxic chemicals in medical and environmental applications.

Several of the new products are much smaller devices, commonly viewed as components in other products. These include controllers and fiber-optic collimators for wave-length multiplexers, cheaper blue light-emitting diodes for inclusion in full-color displays, epitaxial laser wafers, giant magnetoresistance sensors for automatic brake systems and other applications, high-temperature superconducting (HTS) wiring for connecting super-cooled electrical devices to ordinary devices, thin-film HTS components for magnetic resonance imaging equipment in hospitals, and minute porous glass components in sensors for toxic gases.

Additional new products and a new service have resulted from research in the computer software field. These include a pad and stylus system for allowing the input of handwritten characters into computers, detailed images and dynamic presentation of the inner parts of the human body for CD-ROMS and books used in medical education, a programming tool that makes the development of programs for parallel processing computers much easier, a system that produces rotatable three-dimensional views of very complicated molecules for a number of applications in the chemical and drug industries, a user interface for use in sharing product model data, and a service that helps producers and archivers of movie films improve film quality by removing blemishes from film masters.

Finally, there are new processes that improve the manufacturing of a variety of products. They include processes for the epitaxial growth of semiconductor components, the implantation of ions of various materials on large silicon crystal wafers in a much cheaper way, the production of very high quality spherical and aspherical mirrors for use in photolithographic and other fabricating equipment, and the assembly of automobiles which are of higher quality because stamped metal parts fit together better.

For a convenient, quick reference by the reader, brief descriptions of the new products or processes are listed in Tables A1-A7 in Appendix A, in Column C. For each new product or process, the new technology on which it is based is also listed in the Appendix A tables, in Column B.

Commercializing a technology is an important step, but it does not mean that the project is necessarily a full success from the perspective of either the company or the ATP. Some products have been sold for testing and evaluation, and after testing, the purchaser may decide not to place a larger order. Other sales are by struggling companies that may fail in the future, even if the product is a good one. Widespread diffusion of the technology may or may not ultimately happen, but it is significant that these products and processes are actually on the market. This is an extremely important step for the eventual generation of broad-based benefits for the economy as a whole.

Rapidly Growing Companies

The introduction of a new or improved product into the market is clear evidence of commercialization. Even before that happens, however, other indicators can signal that a company is probably on the path toward commercialization. One of these is company growth, and some limited data on this performance "indicator" is provided in Figure 6, which focuses on employment at the small, single-applicant companies. Employment changes in joint ventures, larger companies and nonprofit organizations are less closely tied to the success of individual research projects, and, therefore, they are not shown in the figure.

Click on image for large scale version.

Figure 6 - Distribution of 27 Completed Projects at Small, Single-Applicant Companies by Percentage of Employment Change

Clearly, this group of companies as a whole has grown rapidly, as measured by employment growth rates. All but five of the 27 small companies at least doubled in size; one company grew 1,900 percent. Employment at four companies actually declined, while it remained constant at one company.

Companies "Going Public"

Another development that is useful in assessing commercial prospects for small companies is the initial public offering (IPO) of stock by a company whose stock has heretofore been privately held. For the most part, these are start-up or near-start-up companies.

This event is relevant for the 21 single-company applicants that were privately held at the beginning of their ATP funding periods. Seven of the 21 companies filed IPO statements with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Five of them conducted IPOs during their ATP funding periods. In addition, one company conducted an IPO in early 1998, after project completion.

Another company, in filing the required form with the SEC, noted its intention to conduct an IPO and has since been acquired by a larger company, at an apparent substantial premium over the approximate value placed on the company at the time of the SEC filing.

Conducting an IPO subjects the company to the scrutiny of stock market analysts and to the financial decisions of investors. It is a demanding test of whether the capital market believes the company has a promising future. Even announcing the intention to conduct an IPO invites potential investors to examine the data presented by the company in its SEC filing, and only infrequently do companies announce intention to file without following through.

Return to Top of Page

Go to other sections of Chapter 1: Overview of Completed Projects
Bullet  Characterstics of the Projects
Bullet  Timeline of Expected ATP Project Activities and Impacts
Bullet  Gains in Technical Knowledge
Bullet  Dissemination of New Knowledge
Bullet  Commercialization of the New Technology
Bullet  Broad-Based Economic Benefits

Date created: March 1999
Last updated: April 12, 2005

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