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NISTIR-6098
Development, Commercialization, and Diffusion of Enabling Technologies
Progress Report for Projects Funded 1993-1995

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

This report provides a statistical overview of progress reported by hundreds of companies and other organizations funded by the ATP during the period from 1993 through 1995. The report annotates the statistics with comments from project participants. The information is based entirely on Business Reporting System (BRS) reports to the ATP filed by 480 individual organizations through December 31, 1996. While not all the companies and projects are progressing at the same rate, or have achieved the same level of progress, the statistical analysis presented here provides an overview of the degree of progress towards research and commercialization goals of a large group of ATP award recipients. It provides a snapshot at a point in time; plans for commercialization and technology diffusion are being further detailed and implemented by the companies continuously.

Progress reports from individual firms, and aggregate summary statistics of progress for the group of projects provide evidence of (a) opportunities for economic spillovers and broad national economic benefit; (b) acceleration of the R&D process and reduction in time-to-market in highly competitive markets; (c) stimulation of collaboration and collaboration effects; (d) increased private sector investment in high risk technology development; and (e) progress towards ultimate commercialization of ATP-funded technologies through new products, processes, and services.

Opportunities for economic spillovers and national economic benefit:

Participants in 210 projects have identified more than 1,000 different applications (or uses) of the technologies under development, providing evidence that the technologies funded by ATP are highly enabling. New applications are being identified continuously.

Companies have provided commercialization plans for nearly 800 applications spanning the spectrum of industries, providing evidence that they are seriously pursuing commercialization of the technologies developed in their ATP projects.

Most of the technologies under development offer substantial performance and productivity improvements over existing capabilities.

Most of the technologies under development feed into the early stages of the production chain, creating a greater opportunity for intermediate producers and downstream customers in multiple application areas to benefit from market spillovers.

Patent and copyright activities planned and underway offer potential for dissemination of knowledge through patent disclosure and for additional commercialization opportunities by others through licensing arrangements. Licensing to others is a primary or secondary strategy for commercializing 43 percent of the planned applications. More than 100 new patents have been filed, and 11 have been issued.

Conference activity and publication of papers have been particularly vigorous in some projects. Overall, an average of approximately two conference papers were presented and 0.6 professional journal articles published per project during the period covered. These disseminated results of ATP-funded projects become available to scientists and engineers employed in other firms or universities.

Acceleration of the R&D process and reduction of time-to-market in highly competitive markets:

Eighty-six percent of organizations indicate they are already ahead in their R&D cycle as a result of ATP funding; of these, 39 percent believe they would not have started the project at all without ATP funding; the remainder typically would have proceeded at a significantly slower rate without ATP funding.

Acceleration by two years or more is anticipated for 62 percent of planned commercial applications.

Speed-to-market is considered "critical" or "important" for 98 percent of the commercial applications. The window of opportunity for successful entry into the marketplace is perceived by the companies as two years or less after the ATP funding period for 75 percent of currently identified applications.

Stimulation of Collaborations and Collaboration Effects:

For the projects that have completed at least one year, 78 percent of the organizations reporting indicated that collaboration was helping to achieve the ATP project goals. For these:

  • Eighty-five percent indicated that the ATP was responsible to a moderate or great extent for their collaborations.

  • With respect to the benefits of collaboration, the number one effect, reported by 99 percent of the organizations, was that it helped stimulate creative thinking.

  • Other important effects reported included helping them save time, helping them obtain R&D expertise and identify customer needs, and encouraging them to undertake future collaborations.

  • As might be expected, collaboration can cause higher project management costs, but in fact only about half reported that they incurred significant or moderate project coordination costs as a result of collaborating.

  • Other costs of collaborating were reported by a minority of companies: significant delays in beginning the R&D due to collaboration were reported by 20 percent, and six percent anticipated time delays in market entry as a result of collaboration difficulties.

  • Overall, benefits of collaborating are reported by a far larger percentage of the group than costs, suggesting that collaboration is having a largely positive influence in technology development. (Seventy-eight percent indicate collaboration helped the project. Of this group, nearly all indicate significant or moderate benefits from one or more collaboration effects, compared with 50 percent who indicated moderate or significant increase in project coordination and management costs.)

In addition to R&D collaboration, ATP-funded companies are planning and pursuing alliances to commercialize their technologies, with small companies particularly focused on this strategy. Seventy-six strategic alliances have been formed, and 15 license agreements have been signed for the purpose of commercializing technologies developed in ATP projects.

Increased investment in high risk technology development:

Seventy percent of organizations report that their ATP-funded project encompasses a broader scope and/or higher level of technical risk as a result of the ATP. Fifty-seven percent report that ATP funding has increased their interest in performing long-term research. (These effects are in addition to the accelerated pace mentioned earlier.)

Industry has increased its investment in the ATP-funded technology development areas, beyond what would have occurred in the absence of the ATP awards, by an estimated $200 million; i.e., across the group of projects, companies have expanded the scale of their R&D efforts in the ATP-funded areas by the amount of ATP funding received plus an additional $200 million. This represents an estimated 59 percent increase in industry funding over what industry would have invested without the ATP awards.

An additional $150 million of new funding from other sources has been attracted to support the ATP-funded technology development or the commercialization of products embodying ATP-funded technology.

Expectations that large improvements in performance or large reductions in production costs will result from the ATP-funded projects are evidence that industry is pursuing "discontinuous" or "breakthrough" innovations, and suggestive of relatively risky R&D. For 29 percent of applications, performance improvements of 100-500 percent or more are anticipated. Cost reductions of 25 percent or more are anticipated for 28 percent of applications.

Another indication of the "breakthrough" nature of an innovation is that it enables "new-to-the-world" products or services. Thirty-five percent of applications are considered by the project participants to be "new-to-the-world" solutions to a market need or problem with the potential to create totally new markets. Many companies plan to utilize their ATP-funded technology in a mix of "new-to-the-world" products and cost reduction and performance improvements in other products, processes, or services.

Progress towards commercialization of ATP-funded technologies:

Progress is being made towards developing new capabilities and achieving cost savings through new and improved processes.

  • Forty percent of the companies, representing 52 percent of the projects, report they are now able to make a new or improved product, even though the product may not yet be ready for the marketplace.

  • Twenty-eight percent of companies, representing 39 percent of the projects, report they have adopted process improvements resulting from their ATP technology.

Companies are engaging in commercialization planning activities, at their own expense, needed to enter the marketplace in a timely manner, once the technology is ready. (ATP funds R&D only.)

  • Companies in 77 percent of the projects have completed product/process definition for at least one application; companies in 56 percent of the projects have completed concept testing for at least one application of their technology; and concept testing has been conducted for one-third of all applications being planned by the ATP-funded companies.

  • Companies in 71 percent of the projects have conducted other market analysis activities; for example, sales forecasting or related product development or testing.

  • Companies in 25 percent of the projects have moved to new quarters to expand production capacity; companies in 19 percent of projects have purchased or leased new plant and equipment to expand production capacity.

  • Forty-one percent of projects have completed a production prototype for at least one application, and 35 percent of projects have completed pilot production or a commercial demonstration.

  • Actual production of products is already underway for 12 percent of the projects, and four percent of the planned commercial applications.

  • About 10 percent of companies, representing 15 percent of projects, indicate they have earned early revenues, amounting to more than $20 million, for example, from sales of samples and prototypes. The first licensing revenues have been realized.

  • The large revenue flows lie in the future. Revenue is expected for only about one-fourth of applications ("spin-offs") before the end of ATP funding and not until four or more years after the ATP funding ends for nearly 10 percent of applications and 10 percent of projects. Revenue is expected for most within four years after the ATP funding ends.

Taken as a whole, the results of this report confirm the results of earlier studies and increase the robustness of statistical evidence that the ATP is making solid progress towards achieving its mission of economic growth through technological advancement. With the BRS in place, the ATP is positioned to capture developments and report on the evolution of ATP-funded technologies towards commercialization and the generation of national economic benefits.

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Date created: November 1998
Last updated: August 3, 2005

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