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NIST
GCR 02841 Part II: ESTIMATING THE DISTRIBUTION OF FUNDING FOR EARLY-STAGE TECHNOLOGY DEVELOPMENT64
1.
OVERVIEW
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Estimates
of Funding Flows to Early-Stage Technology Development (ESTD) |
||||||
Total
Financial Support for Innovation |
Low
Estimate |
High
Estimate |
||||
| Funding Source |
$B |
Derivation |
$B |
Derivation |
$B |
Derivation |
| Industry | 149.7 |
Total industry-funded R&D, National Science Board (2000) table 25 | 1.7 |
Early-stage innovation research in central research laboratories | 16.8 |
Half of all basic research and a third of all applied research funded by industry |
| VCs | 16.8 |
Total VC disbursements, National Science Board (2000) table 7-14, based on data from Venture Economics. | 0.4 |
Seed-stage disbursements to product-based technology firms | 0.8 |
Fractional components of all VC disbursement to product-based technology firms |
| Angels | 20.0 |
Total angel disbursements, as reported by Sohl (1999) | 1.5 |
Angel disbursements based on extrapolations from Silicon Valley data | 10.0 |
Angel disbursements to new technology startups based on Reynolds and Sohl |
| Universities | 5.0 |
Total university-funded R&D, National Science Board (2000) table 2-5 | 0.2 |
University support for faculty spin-offs | 1.8 |
All universities funding for applied research and development |
Federal Government |
72.1 |
Total federal obligations for R&D, National Science Board (2000) table 2-25 | 1.4 |
Total funding for ATP, SBIR, and STTR programs | 7.3 |
Portions of federal obligations for non-defense R&D |
| State Government | 2.3 |
Total state-funded R&D in 1995, State Science and Technology Institute (1998) table 13 | 0.2 |
Fractional portion of state-funded applied research in 1995 | 0.8 |
All state funding for applied research in 1995 |
| Totals | $265.9 |
Total support | $5.4 |
Lower estimate | $37.5 |
Upper estimate |
2.0%
of total support |
14.1%
of total support |
|||||
We
preserve this broad range to remind the reader that these
are primarily meant to provide a plausible notion of the
relative importance of these different sources of ESTD funding.
The particular value for the policy interests of this paper
is the comparison of the levels of federal investment, especially
for ATP and SBIR, with all the others: corporate, VC, angels,
states, and universities. Further descriptions of each estimate
and funding source follow in the subsections below.
Our
examination of the data suggests the following significant
findings:
A.
CORPORATIONS
In 1998, corporations
reported to NSF investments in R&D totaling $149.7 billion. They
indicated (perhaps somewhat arbitrarily) allocation of $11.3 billion
to basic research, $33.6 billion to applied research, and $104.7 billion
to development.(69) These
massive investments are highly concentrated; the top 500 firms accounted
for nearly 90 percent of all corporate R&D expenditures.(70) Most
firms in the highly competitive technology sector invest heavily in R&D
to compete, and while they frequently achieve important breakthroughs,
the overwhelming majority of corporate research investments pertain to
the core business. While some of these core business innovations may
represent radical advances in the sense that they are based upon fundamentally
new technologies, most are unlikely to be the sort of disruptive innovations
that destabilize markets, create new opportunities for learning, and
open up entirely new spheres of economic activity, which is the intent
of government programs like ATP.(71) Consequently,
our analysis sought to focus on corporate investment in early-stage technology
development outside of a corporations core business.
(i) Lower
estimate: Early-stage innovation research funding in central research
laboratories
Central corporate
research laboratories are a primary locus for pre-commercial ESTD research
at many large corporations. In contrast, business-segment laboratories
tend to focus almost exclusively on extensions of existing products in
their core business. Researchers in central corporate labs are relatively
free from intense pressures by business managers to maximize profits
and the imposition of cultural norms that promote loyalty to existing
product lines that exist in business-segment laboratories. Thus, researchers
in central corporate labs have more latitude to engage in new areas of
research and push the development of innovations that might not survive
in business-segment laboratories. Such motivations were driving factors
in the establishment and success of famous central laboratories such
as AT&T Bell Laboratories, Xerox PARC, and IBMs T.J. Watson
Research Center.
NIST economist
Gregory Tassey reports that for a small sample of corporations with large
R&D program budgets, approximately 9.4 percent of reported R&D
is carried out in central research labs (see Table 2).(72) Since
only the largest and most R&D-intensive firms have the resources
to maintain prominent central research labs, we presume that such labs
are found primarily in those firms with R&D programs larger than
$100 million. These would include the approximately 200 top R&D-performing
firms, which spent $112.7 billion on R&D in 1998, about two-thirds
of total industry expenditures.(73) Using
Tasseys reported average, we estimate that, in the top 200 R&D-performing
firms, total central research lab expenditures are approximately $11
billion (~9.4 percent of $112.7 billion).
Company
funded R&D as a % of sales |
|||
| Company | Total |
Central
lab |
Ratio |
| Nokia* | 12.2 |
1.2 |
10.0 |
| Rockwell | 5.0 |
0.5 |
10.0 |
| General Electric | 3.2 |
0.4 |
13.0 |
| Hughes | 2.0 |
0.3 |
14.0 |
| United Technologies | 5.1 |
0.3 |
6.5 |
| Raytheon | 3.0 |
0.1 |
2.8 |
Based on his
experience at IBM and other observations, Lewis Branscomb, the co-author
of this report, conjectures that within the large central labs, ESTD
work comprises perhaps 15 percent of the research. This figure is not
inconsistent with estimates produced by the Industrial Research Institute
that 6 percent of R&D funds in central labs are directed toward basic
research and 36 percent toward applied research, since ESTD work is likely
to be categorized by corporations as both basic and applied research.(74) Therefore,
we assume that 15 percent of R&D in central research labs, or $1.7
billion (15 percent of the $11 billion figure derived in the paragraph
above), is spent on ESTD research, and without including any other in-house
corporate R&D expenditures, use this as a lower-range estimate for
industry funding of ESTD work.
(ii) Upper
estimate: Portions of industry funded basic and applied research
Investments
by industry into basic research are often more targeted and constrained
than in the academic laboratories where the majority of the nations
basic research takes place.(75) Within
the corporate context, a deliberately composed research staff (with specifically
chosen skills and interests) and constant market pressures tend to drive
basic research to focus on areas of practical relevance to the firm.
As a first approximation, some significant portion of these corporate
basic research flows may provide an estimate of research into non-core
businesses, since most research in the core would generally be characterized
as applied research. In 1998, industry expenditures on basic research
totaled $11.3 billion.(76) Reported
basic research expenditures probably include both the science research
that results in new laboratory ideas and builds links to university research,
as well as the funds to transform the concept into the kind of viable
commercial proposal required for a product division to accept the project
into its business plan. We arbitrarily allocate one-half of these basic
research funds, or $5.6 billion, to ESTD investments.
Some corporate
applied research funds may also flow to ESTD projects. The majority of
these applied research investments focus on core business areas, working
to extend existing product and service lines rather than to encourage
new breakthrough innovations of the sort we focus on here. Moreover,
survey-based estimates of applied research expenditures typically include
new research in areas with potential applications as well as the application
of existing knowledge to the solution of practical problems. We attribute
a third of these applied research funds, or $11.2 billion, to ESTD work,
while acknowledging that this assumption probably overstates the true
funding levels by a significant margin. Combining these totals, our model
for an upper-range estimate for corporate funding of ESTD research is
$16.8 billion.
One source
of information that suggests that the upper-range estimate may be closer
to reality comes from a study commissioned by this project by Booz Allen & Hamilton
(see Annex I). Interviews were conducted with
corporate executives from companies selected at random, representing
the software, telecommunications, electronic component manufacturing,
automotive manufacturing, and biotechnology industries to assess spending
trends and research activities in ESTD. The BAH study concluded that:
B.
VENTURE CAPITAL
Venture capital
disbursements cover a broad swath of industries and stages of company
development. Venture Economics reports that in 1998 a total of $16.8
billion was disbursed mostly to small, innovative firms.(77)
As a rule,
venture capital firms specialize in acquiring promising technology firms,
not in building such firms from scratch. While venture capital firms
support nascent ventures through mechanisms other than investments categorized
as seed stage (such as bridge loans),(78) only
a fraction of venture capital funding at all stages of company advancement
directly supports the development of new technology (as distinct from
other activities of new firms such as management, production, and marketing).
To be able
to distinguish what portion of venture capital disbursements fund ESTD
work, venture capital disbursement data have to be broken down by activity,
something not readily feasible with current broad-based surveys of venture
capital firms. A simple model of the percentage of venture capital that
is directed toward ESTD can be calculated by making assumptions based
on the stage of funding being pursued by the company. Essentially, the
earlier in development a company is, the more venture funding will go
towards R&D activities. Seed-stage financing occurs very early in
the life cycle of a new venture and usually involves a small amount of
capital provided to an inventor or entrepreneur working in an area of
great promise to reduce the technical idea to practice and identify the
market that might be created.
We further
focus our analysis by counting only efforts in product-based technology
industries, where technical breakthroughs can lead to discontinuous innovations
in a manner that only seldom occurs in service-based industries. Startup
efforts that hinge upon technical extensions of current technologies
or new business models built around pre-existing products and services
are therefore excluded.
(i) Lower
estimate: Seed-stage venture capital disbursements
In 1998, seed-stage
deals made up $0.72 billion, or only 4.3 percent of total venture capital
disbursements. Approximately 60 percent of seed-stage disbursements,
or $0.44 billion, were directed toward firms in product-based technology
industries in 1998. All such disbursements are estimated to be directed
toward ESTD work.
(ii) Upper
estimate: Components of all venture capital disbursements for product-based
technology firms
About half
of the $16.8 billion in venture capital funding awarded in 1998 went
to firms in product-based technology industries, where ESTD work is most
likely to occur. At the seed stage, about 60 percent of venture capital
funds went to entrepreneurs in product-based technology industries. All
$0.44 billion of seed-stage funds are estimated to fund ESTD activities.
At the startup financing phase, about one-half of the $0.97 billion invested
are for firms in product-based technology industries. These funds are
normally provided for use in product development and initial marketing.
We assume that one-half of startup financing is for ESTD research, with
the remainder focused on other business development activities, providing
an estimate for ESTD of one-quarter of startup-stage funding, or $0.24
billion at the startup stage.
First-stage
and other subsequent early-stage disbursements are provided to support
commercial manufacturing and sales, and made up about $3 billion in investments
in 1998. Only a small portion of companies will be investing funds acquired
at this stage into significant new technology-based research. We estimate
that half of first-stage funds are invested in product-based technology
firms and that just 10 percent of these disbursements, or $0.15 billion,
fund ESTD work.
Based upon
these speculations, we project that as much as $0.83 billion of venture
capital might have directed toward support of ESTD in 1998.
C.
ANGEL INVESTORS
The level
of investment provided by private individuals is very difficult to track. Most
angel deals are private, individually small in size, and do not readily
show up in major statistical reports. Jeff Sohl of the University of
New Hampshire says that, in this country, conservative estimates
suggest that about 250,000 angels invest approximately $1020 billion
every year in over 30,000 ventures, for an average deal size of
about $330,000 to $660,000 per venture (Washington,
D.C. workshop). Most angel deals occur very early in the life cycle
of a startup and typically provide funding for a single project teamsometimes
a single individualfocused on a single project.
(i) Lower
estimate: Angel disbursements based on Silicon Valley data
Luis Villalobos
of Tech Coast Angels estimates that its investments break down as 60
percent high-tech, 30 percent dot-com, and 10 percent services. Band
of Angels founder Hans Severiens states that from 1995 through the end
of 2000, the Band of Angels invested collectively a total of $83 million
in 132 companies, for an average deal size of about $625,000. Severiens
further estimates that angel activities in the Silicon Valley area are
likely to be around $200 to $300 million yearly.
While these
data are instructive, angel deals in Silicon Valley are likely to be
larger and more heavily skewed towards technology-based startups than
in the rest of the country. Assuming that the distribution and characteristics
of angel deals in Silicon Valley relative to the United States are roughly
similar to observed trends in venture capital financing deals, we assume
that angel deals in Silicon Valley represent on the order of 30 percent
of total U.S. angel activities, that the average national angel deal
size is $500,000, and that two-thirds of these investments are made in
product-based technology ventures.(79) This
gives us a range estimate of total U.S. technology-oriented angel investments
of around $1.5 billion.
(ii) Upper
estimate: Angel disbursements to new technology startups, based on
Reynolds and Sohl
New data from
the National Panel Study of Business Start-ups reported by Paul Reynolds
at the Cambridge workshop suggests that there are about 200,000 technology-based
startups in existence; of these, about a third have employees and can
be categorized as small businesses.(80) Reynolds estimate
is of startups in existence and not the number of startups founded each
year. The numbers from Reynolds are roughly consistent with the estimates
by Jeff Sohl, based on surveys conducted by a team based at the University
of New Hampshire. Jeff Sohls team found that in 1998 roughly 20,000
firms received funding from angel investors. We scale Reynolds number
downwards, estimating that only about one in ten of the 200,000 startups
reported to be in existence by Reynoldsabout 20,000 business entitiesseeks
angel financing each year.
If each of
these 20,000 technology startups received $500,000 in angel financing
(an average consistent with the UNH surveys), then total angel financing
for ESTD innovation would be roughly $10 billion. Given the tendency
for businesses to use technology in a much looser sense than
would technical people, we suggest that this is a generous, upper-range
estimate.(81)
D.
UNIVERSITIES AND COLLEGES
Academic institutions
play a significant role in the national R&D enterprise. While the
federal government provides most of the funds for academic R&D, universities
and colleges have funded a steadily increasing portion of their own research
budgets since the 1960s.(82) Universities
and colleges provided $5.0 billion in funding for R&D in 1998; of
this, $3.2 billion was devoted to basic research, $1.5 billion to applied
research, and $0.3 billion to development.(83)
Universities
are the nations largest performers of basic research, conducting
nearly half of all basic research. Most university basic research, however,
is truly just thatbasic. Very little, if any, of reported basic
research expenditures is likely to fund ESTD work. Applied research activities
are more likely to be pertinent to an analysis of ESTD in the academic
setting. Some development funds could also be directed toward ESTD. Most
surveys do not include a category that specifically tracks support for
the commercialization of university intellectual property, complicating
any effort to accurately tabulate such investments.
(i) Lower
estimate: University support for faculty spin-offs
Universities
have become an increasingly fertile ground for the development of new
commercial innovations. Respondents to an Association of University Technology
Managers (AUTM) survey have reported that revenues from academic licenses
nearly quadrupled between 1991 and 1998. The same survey reports that
since 1980, more than 2,600 new startups have been formed based on a
license from an academic institution, with at least 364 such startups
being formed in 1998.(84) For
every successful startup, there are likely many uncounted unsuccessful
ventures that never succeed in crossing the divide from laboratory discovery
to commercializable innovation. Calculating the portion of university
funds that finance such ventures is difficult. Anecdotal evidence suggests
that direct financial investments into faculty or student startups by
universities is rare, though a number of universities have long-established
venture capital funds designed to invest in such initiatives.(85) More
significantly, universities offer support in the form of faculty and
staff time, resources of the university technology transfer office, office
space, and the like. Survey results reported by the National Science
Foundation (NSF) show that universities funded $327 million in development
activities, the D in R&D, which may capture post-ESTD
efforts of faculty and students in converting academic research into
commercially viable innovations.(86) A
similar result would be obtained if 1,500 university-based ventures,
one quarter of which were successfully licensed, received $200,000 each
in university support. Thus, we use $327 million (the NSF number for
university development expenditures) as the lower estimate for academic
funding of ESTD.
(ii) Upper
estimate: University funded applied research
Most ESTD
activities within academic institutions are likely to be categorized
as applied research in academic R&D surveys. Universities and colleges
provided $1.5 billion for applied research in 1998. Some academic R&D
(about 12 percent), however, occurs in fields of science and engineering
that have limited prospects for technical breakthroughs of the kind leading
to pre-innovation ESTD work. The remaining 88 percent of academic R&D
occurs in fields where ESTD activity is more likely: the life sciences,
physical sciences, environmental sciences, and engineering.(87) If
we assume that a similar proportion of applied research funds is directed
toward these fields, this means that about $1.4 billion in academic applied
research funds are potentially available to fund ESTD research. A significant
portion of applied research activities within academic laboratories may
not have a focus on eventual commercialization of innovations. Nevertheless,
we use $1.4 billion as our upper estimate. This exaggerates the portion
of university R&D budgets aimed at promoting commercialization of
laboratory inventions, but it sets a practical upper ceiling on estimates
of potential university funding of ESTD research.
E.
STATE GOVERNMENTS
States play
an increasingly crucial role in encouraging regional economic growth
through investments in science and technology development. A state government
emphasis on applied research with commercial intent is also consistent
with the widely accepted premise that state governments are strongly
motivated to promote technological innovation and commercialization.
They engage in these activities in order to maximize economic prosperity
in their states; and, therefore, a considerable share of states applied
R&D funds will potentially be directed toward ESTD activities.
In 1995, the
latest year for which comprehensive data is available, state government
funding for research and development totaled $2.4 billion, of which 56
percent was for basic research, 32 percent for applied research, and
12 percent for development and commercialization activities.(88)
(i) Lower
estimate: Portions of state-funded applied research
State governments
provided $778 million in applied research funding in 1995. Based on overall
state R&D financing patterns, $523 million of the total is projected
to have been spent in fields of science and engineering where ESTD work
potentially takes place. Looking at where state-funded applied research
is performed can provide a clue to the character of work thus funded.
In 1995, an estimated 80 percent of state-funded applied research took
place within academic institutions (state colleges, universities, and
hospitals), where the motive to commercialize on technical discoveries
is presumably less compelling than in industry, the site of only about
4 percent of such research. We arbitrarily allocate only one-half of
state-funded applied research performed in universities and colleges,
or $209 million, to ESTD activities, since it is unlikely that all state-funded
academic applied research is aimed at commercializing lab-bench discoveries.
We include 75 percent of state-funded applied research performed by industry,
$16 million, on the basis that most of it is funded in state-supported
innovation programs, in incubators, and other innovation promoting programs.
An additional
10 percent of state R&D funds were spent intramurally by state government
agencies, significantly lower than the portion of federal R&D dollars
that remained in house. We allocate half of such research, or $26 million
(half of 10 percent of $523 million) as potentially funding ESTD activities.
Combining these figures provides a lower estimate of $251 million of
state funds flowing to ESTD research.
(ii) Upper
estimate: All state-funded applied research funding
Among the
state programs that are narrowly targeted at funding pre-commercialization
research are cooperative technology programs; public-private initiatives
that sponsor the development and use of technology and improved practices
by specific companies. Such programs exist in all fifty states, and include
notable successes such as the Kansas Technology Enterprise Corporation
and Marylands Enterprise Investment Fund. A State Science and Technology
Institute study reported $405 million in combined state funding for cooperative
technology programs across the country in 1995 (the latest year for which
data is available), an increase of 32 percent since 1992.(89)
We use a larger
number, all state funding for applied research as reported by the State
Science and Technology Institute$778 millionas our upper
estimate for state support of ESTD innovation. While this estimate significantly
overstates the proportion of early-stage, pre-commercial research funding
in state R&D budgets, it sets an operational upper limit for this
assessment.
F.
FEDERAL GOVERNMENT
In 1998, federal
obligations for research and development equaled $72.1 billion including
$15.9 for basic research, $15.6 for applied research, and $40.6 billion
for development.(90) Nearly
half of this total is defense-related. While these funds play a significant
role in the development of important military technologies, defense R&D
is primarily motivated by national security considerations and largely
falls outside of the sphere of market-driven commercial innovation activity
that we are focused on here.(91) We,
therefore, exclude defense-related funds, other than SBIR (to which defense
is the largest contributor), from our analysis of ESTD research. Of non-defense
related funds, only a small proportion is intended explicitly to provide
incentives for commercialization of new technical inventions. In addition
to programs like the Advanced Technology Program and the Small Business
Innovation Research program that focus on funding ESTD research, a massive
variety of research initiatives exist within all federal cabinet agencies
and dozens of smaller agencies, including the National Institutes of
Health, the National Science Foundation, the Department of Energy, the
Food and Drug Administration, and the U.S. Agency for International Development.
Within these programs are an unknownand unknowablenumber
of R&D projects that might have the potential to lead to new firms
or new products of an innovative nature.
(i) Lower
estimate: ATP, SBIR, and STTR funding
The Advanced
Technology Program (ATP) funds, on a cost-sharing basis, high-risk, early-stage,
technology-based projects in both small and large firms. In 1998 (our
reference year, chosen for reasons of data availability as well as correspondence
with current funding levels), ATP made 79 awards at a total level of
$460 million (public plus private funds). Of this total, ATP provided
$235 million, with the remaining share financed by industry matching
funds.(92)
In the same
year (1998) the Small Business Innovation Research (SBIR) program funded
2,975 exploratory-stage (phase I) awards and 1,283 seed-stage (phase
II) awards at a total level of $1.05 billion In addition, the Small Business
Technology Transfer Program, which provides grants to small business
and non-profit research institution partnerships to help bring laboratory
results into the marketplace, awarded 208 exploratory-stage awards and
108 seed-stage awards at a total level of $67 million.
All funding
by these programs is considered to be directed toward ESTD, since the
statutory authority on which they rest call specifically for public-private
research partnerships for enabling technologies to encourage high-tech
innovations. As noted above, while ATP is explicitly directed toward
encouraging innovations of broad value to the economy, SBIR is historically
and by law focused on the mission of the agency. However, the flexibility
of most agencys R&D portfolio and the political popularity
of SBIR has given rise to a substantial emphasis on the economic value
attributed to SBIR, even if legally this value is a secondary consequence
of the agencys legislative mandate. The combined federal funding
for these programs in 1998 was $1.4 billion and provides a lower estimate
for federal ESTD funding flows.
(ii) Upper
estimate: Portions of federal obligations for non-defense research
and development
Total federal
obligations for non-defense basic research are $14.8 billion, with most
of these funds under the jurisdiction of the National Institutes of Health
(NIH), the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA), the
Department of Energy (DOE), and the National Science Foundation (NSF).
Over two-thirds of the 1998 total went to academic research institutions
where the majority of the nations most fundamental basic research
takes place. Strictly speaking, the scope of basic research work, particularly
in academic institutions, would not include ESTD activities, but for
purposes of building an upper range estimate on federal ESTD funding,
we consider that as much as 10 percent, or $1.5 billion, of non-defense
basic research might be allocated to ESTD work.
For applied
research, federal non-defense obligations totaled $12.7 billion, with
$10.6 billion in fields of science and engineering where ESTD work most
likely takes place.(93) If
half of all these applied research funds, including funds for intramural
work at regulatory and non-research-based government agencies, are available
and potentially used for ESTD research, we can set an upper range estimate
of $5.3 billion for applied research funds to ESTD activities.
It might also
be argued that some portion of federal funds for development flow into
ESTD activities. Over 90 percent of the $9.7 billion in federal non-defense
development funding is earmarked for NASA, the Department of Energy,
and the National Institutes of Health, and it is unlikely that administrators
at these research-focused agencies would report a significant portion
of ESTD work as development activities rather than in the generally more
appropriate basic or applied research categories. We designate only 5
percent, or $0.5 billion, of federal non-defense development obligations
as potentially flowing to ESTD projects.
Adding these fractional estimates for basic research, applied research, and development provides an upper estimate of $7.3 billion in federal funding for ESTD research.
____________________ [Click
on image to go back to text.]
64. This
section of the report was co-authored by Brian Min, Research Associate
to the Between Invention and Innovation Project. Thomas Livesey, also
a Research Associate, provided supporting research.
65. The
definition of ESTD, early-stage technology development, is given at the
front of the executive summary and is elaborated in Part
I.
66. Important
sources are the NSF surveys on research and development funding and expenditures,
data on the venture capital industry from Venture Economics, and the
limited data on angel investing reported by Sohl (1999) and van Osnabrugge
and Robinson (2000).
67. See,
for example, Council on Competitiveness (1996): The old distinctions
between basic and applied research have proven politically unproductive
and no longer reflect the realities of the innovation process.
68. We
do not suggest that these statistics in their raw form are somehow invalid
as predictors of innovation in general. We only mean to suggest that
these numbers overstate the inputs into early-stage technology development
activities.
69. National
Science Board (2000), tables 25, 29, 213, and 217.
70. National
Science Foundation and U.S. Department of Commerce (1999). Note that
firms with less than four persons engaged primarily in R&D are not
asked to respond to the survey, and many highly innovative small firms
do not have an internal organization for R&D activities and thus
do not report in these surveys.
71. Christensen
(1997) offers a detailed elaboration of the concept of disruptive technologies.
72. Tassey
(2001).
73. National
Science Foundation (2000c), tables A5 and A6.
74. Bean,
Russo, and Whiteley (2000), table 6.
75. As
defined by the NSFs Industrial Research & Development Information
System (IRIS), Basic research analyzes properties, structures,
and relationships toward formulating and testing hypotheses, theories,
or laws. As used in this survey, industrial basic research is the pursuit
of new scientific knowledge or understanding that does not have specific
immediate commercial objectives, although it may be in fields of present
or potential commercial interest.
76. National
Science Board (2000), table 29.
77. National
Science Board (2000), table 714, based on data from Venture
Economics.
78. Bridge
loans represent a particularly important source. These (usually small)
loans are provided to early stage ventures prior to an initial round
of funding. If a funding round takes place, the loans are converted to
equity. We thank Josh Lerner for emphasizing this point.
79. According
to the PriceWaterhouseCoopers MoneyTree survey, VC investments in Silicon
Valley in 1998 were $4.6 billion, or 30 percent of the national total
of $15.3 billion.
80. Based
on the National Panel Study of U.S. Business Startups, Reynolds
estimates that there are fifteen million entrepreneurs in the United
States, that 3 percent (approximately 450,000) of entrepreneurs are technology
entrepreneurs involved in a startup, and that the average startup has
a team size of two. This guess leads to an estimated of 200,000 startups
in existence (not startups created each year). Reynolds (2000) and personal
communication with Reynolds.
81. From
discussions with practitioners and reading of the popular press, we suspect
that the very broad use of the word technology to include
any activity involving information technology or software development
may carry over to survey results.
82. Surveys
typically ask universities for their R&D expenditures by source,
identifying states, federal, industry, and independent laboratories as
specific sources and lumping all other sources of income to the university,
including gifts from individuals and philanthropy from industry (in contrast
to contracts) as university own funds.
83. National
Science Board (2000), tables 29, 213, and 217.
84. Association
of University Technology Managers (2000).
85. Lerner
(1999).
86. National
Science Board (2000), tables 217.
87. National
Science Foundation (2000a), table B3.
88. State
Science and Technology Institute (1998), table 1 (most recent available
data).
89. State
Science and Technology Institute (1996).
90. According
to the NSF, Federal obligations represent the amounts for orders placed,
contracts awarded, services received, and similar transactions during
a given period, regardless of when funds were appropriated or payment
required. Obligations data allows for detailed analysis of where Federal
dollars are ultimately spent. Budget authority data cannot provide such
insight since many agency R&D programs do not receive explicit line
items in the Federal budget. National Science Board (2000), tables 225,
227, 229, and 231.
91. Alic,
Branscomb et al, (1992).
92. The
Advanced Technology Program <www.atp.nist.gov> summarizes
its mission as follows: The Advanced Technology Program (ATP)
bridges the gap between the research lab and the market place, stimulating
prosperity through innovation. Through partnerships with the private
sector, ATPs early stage investment is accelerating the development
of innovative technologies that promise significant commercial payoffs
and widespread benefits for the nation. Significantly,
two-thirds of ATP funds were awarded to joint venture projects; these
are the kinds of projects one might presume carry the highest technical
and financial risks, precipitating the formation of such partnerships.
National Science Board (2000), table 261.
93. National
Science Board (2000), Table 238.
Date created: February
14, 2003
Last updated:
August 2, 2005
ATP website comments: webmaster-atp@nist.gov / Technical ATP inquiries: InfoCoord.ATP@nist.gov. NIST is an agency of the U.S. Commerce Department |